Preseason Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#164
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.8#229
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#119
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.1% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.2 10.9 11.8
.500 or above 28.4% 41.5% 17.7%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 36.9% 22.6%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.4% 9.2% 16.9%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round1.7% 2.7% 0.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Home) - 45.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 21 - 42 - 10
Quad 34 - 56 - 15
Quad 46 - 212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 106   UC Irvine L 65-66 45%    
  Nov 09, 2019 289   @ Long Beach St. W 75-71 65%    
  Nov 14, 2019 191   @ Weber St. L 73-74 46%    
  Nov 16, 2019 40   @ Colorado L 61-75 10%    
  Nov 20, 2019 77   San Diego St. L 65-69 36%    
  Nov 24, 2019 44   @ Washington L 60-73 12%    
  Nov 27, 2019 148   Hofstra W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 01, 2019 115   St. Bonaventure L 61-65 38%    
  Dec 07, 2019 312   Holy Cross W 70-58 85%    
  Dec 11, 2019 213   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 69-70 50%    
  Dec 14, 2019 266   @ UC Davis W 66-63 59%    
  Dec 21, 2019 113   Stanford L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 02, 2020 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-65 37%    
  Jan 04, 2020 128   @ Santa Clara L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 09, 2020 8   Gonzaga L 66-80 12%    
  Jan 11, 2020 117   Pepperdine L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 16, 2020 67   @ BYU L 70-81 18%    
  Jan 18, 2020 285   @ Portland W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 25, 2020 128   Santa Clara W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 30, 2020 111   San Francisco L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 247   @ Pacific W 66-64 55%    
  Feb 06, 2020 19   St. Mary's L 60-70 20%    
  Feb 08, 2020 285   Portland W 73-63 79%    
  Feb 13, 2020 117   @ Pepperdine L 70-77 29%    
  Feb 15, 2020 67   BYU L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 22, 2020 19   @ St. Mary's L 57-73 9%    
  Feb 27, 2020 8   @ Gonzaga L 63-83 5%    
  Feb 29, 2020 247   Pacific W 69-61 73%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.1 6.7 2.4 0.2 15.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.7 7.1 2.5 0.2 16.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 6.0 6.7 2.1 0.2 16.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 5.4 4.3 1.3 0.1 12.9 9th
10th 0.5 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.8 10th
Total 0.5 2.2 4.7 8.8 11.5 14.6 14.9 13.6 10.7 7.7 5.2 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 79.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 46.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 9.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 100.0% 3.4% 96.6% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-2 0.2% 75.4% 16.7% 58.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 70.5%
13-3 0.6% 48.8% 15.5% 33.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 39.5%
12-4 1.5% 29.2% 6.3% 22.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 24.5%
11-5 3.2% 13.2% 5.7% 7.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 7.9%
10-6 5.2% 5.2% 3.1% 2.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.1%
9-7 7.7% 2.2% 1.8% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.4%
8-8 10.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 0.0%
7-9 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
6-10 14.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.9
5-11 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.6
4-12 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 11.5
3-13 8.8% 8.8
2-14 4.7% 4.7
1-15 2.2% 2.2
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.0% 0.9% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.0 1.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%